They say that you can throw out the standings and form guides when bitter rivals meet. That last phrase certainly applies to any national teams of the Mexico and theĀ United StatesĀ --Ā but the first part doesnāt quite work with Wednesday nightāsĀ Concacaf Olympic qualifyingĀ clash at Estadio Jalisco in Guadalajara (9:30 pm ET | FS1, TUDN).
Both these sides handled their business in their first two Group A matches, taking full points to qualify for the tournamentās semifinals with a game to spare. And even though taking top spot in the group offers a measure of bragging rights and possibly a preferable matchup against Group Bās survivors, this is also everyoneās third game in seven days, and US startersĀ Jesus FerreiraĀ andĀ Justen GladĀ are carrying yellow cards.
So donāt expect a full-strength, both-barrels approach from either team.
āI'm sure it will be an emotional, spirited match,ā head coach Jason Kreis said of the Mexico showdown in a Tuesday press conference, ābut at the end of the day, all of our players are clear with the knowledge that the most important game is the one that's coming up.
āThe one that we have to win to make the Olympics is the semifinal.ā
With only two Olympic slots for the region, the semis are the be-all, end-all here: Win and youāre going to Tokyo, lose and youāre headed home heartbroken. If hardcore fans on either side of the border are disappointed by the effects of that reality on Wednesdayās rivalry clash, they may take solace in the fact that a rematch could be just around the corner.
If both Mexico and the US win their semifinals, they will meet again in the championship final, which would immediately make that game much less of an afterthought. And Kreis and his players have targeted a tournament win as one of their goals, too, just one rung below successful qualification.
All of this adds up to Wednesday being a unique balancing act --Ā because the young Yanks canāt exactly mail it in, either.
āIf we come into this game against Mexico and weāre thinking about the next game after that, then weāre probably going to get battered if we think like that,ā warnedĀ Colorado RapidsĀ wingerĀ Jonathan Lewis. āIf they were to come out and batter us because weāre not focused, that can destroy the whole team morale going into the semifinals.ā
Kreis canāt exactly play his reserves, either, because the tight 20-player roster limitation prevents him from really having āreservesā in this event.
āWeāre very fortunate that we have a very deep roster, a lot of guys here that we believe can play in any of these matches and do very well. And so because of that I think weāve been able to maintain some freshness,ā he said. āBut weāre still building fitness, whereas the Mexican players are all in the middle of their season. We are very much in our preseason mode
āThe most important thing is the semifinal match and so we go into this game with that really guiding us. But without 20, 22 field players here, itās not like there can be a complete rotation. So we have to make, I think, some really really educated decisions and have discussions about these decisions and really weigh out a pathway forward.ā
Another factor: The squadĀ havenāt really found their top gearĀ and maintained it for long stretches in their first two games. So Kreis called Mexico āa measuring stick opportunity for us, to see how we compare to a very strong team,ā as that search for peak performance continues.
āWe collectively as coaches, I know for sure collectively as players, we feel that we haven't really gotten to reach our potential. We donāt really feel like weāve put together a full game of what weāre capable of,ā he said. āNow having said that, we definitely have put together moments in both of the first two games where we were really quite good and we were really playing to the level and style that we want. So the answer is that we want both;Ā we want to play in a particular way and we believe that if we play in that particular way then results will come.ā